Miami Heat
Fantasy Analysis
September 2, 2007
Over the offseason the Miami Heat lost a number of players via free
agency.
James Posey signed with the Celtics,
Jason Kapono signed with the Raptors, and
Eddie Jones signed with the Mavs. Each of these players at times
played key roles for the Heat, particularly at the small forward
position. This brings up the question of who will be starting for
the Heat next season at small forward.
The only proven offensive players returning are
Dwayne Wade and Shaquille O’Neal and each of them have issues coming
into next season. For Wade it is recovery from injury and O’Neal it
is the risk of injury and advancing age. I expect Wade to fully
recover but at this stage of O’Neal’s career it will be a challenge
for him to exceed 15 ppg. The player who starts at SF will be
needed to produce for the Heat to be successful.
One candidate is
Antoine Walker. But reviewing his shooting percentages of 39.7%
FG, 27.5% treys, and 43.8% FT makes it apparent that he is a
candidate the fantasy manager should quickly dismiss as should the
Miami Heat. He doesn’t even contribute much beyond those poor
percentages.
That leaves, perhaps by default,
Dorell Wright. His season ending averages do not
look particularly remarkable but looking closer it can be seen in
the 19 games he started last season he gave evidence of solid
fantasy potential. His averages were 29 mpg, 9 pts, 6.7 reb, 1.0
st, and 0.9 bl in those starts. The rebound and block numbers are
enticing for a player who can qualify in many leagues to play the
guard position.
Wright is a young player with demonstrated potential who has the
further incentive to produce as he is entering into the final year
of his rookie contract. A fantasy manager looking to grab a sleeper
in the later rounds should give Wright consideration as the Heat
have not presented him with much competition. Training camp should
give further evidence of his eventual regular season role.
|