Expert Mock Draft - HoopsKLYCE
Analysis
July, 2009
In late July, 2009, I
participated in a mock Draft organized by Rotoworld.com. The
purpose of the draft was to give Rotoworld an idea of early values
for players. I also participated in this draft last year and when
the league was played out I won by a wide margin. (see article on
the main page).
I made a summary of the draft (first five
rounds) in the table below. I like to use this type of mock draft
to check "industry" perceptions of certain players. Although it is
very early in terms of preparing for fantasy basketball, I have
already spent a considerable amount of time on the projections - I
am sure more than other participants in this draft.
The scoring system
for the league was P, A, R, S, B, 3, FT%, FG%, -TO. We were to
draft as if we would start two centers.
In the table the
players are listed in the order in which they were selected. In the
column next to their draft position was my projected rank at the
time. The last column titled "Difference" shows the discrepancy of
their actual draft position to my rank. A positive number indicates
the player was taken higher than I would recommend. A negative
number indicates the player slipped. Bigger negative numbers would
suggest a "steal".
I consider using this
information to adjust player values. Sometimes because I think I
may have been wrong but usually since I do not want a player to be
taken earlier than he really needs to be. This adjustments are
usually minor since I have confidence in my rankings.
The first five rounds of the draft are shown
below:
|
|
|
|
HoopsKLYCE |
|
|
Team |
Player |
Draft Position |
Projected Rank |
Difference |
|
Carpenter |
LeBron James |
1 |
1 |
0 |
|
Flood |
Chris Paul |
2 |
2 |
0 |
|
Eisenberg |
Dwyane Wade |
3 |
3 |
0 |
|
Velasco |
Kobe Bryant |
4 |
5 |
1 |
|
Klyce |
Danny
Granger |
5 |
4 |
-1 |
|
Gonzalez |
Kevin Durant |
6 |
6 |
0 |
|
Madden |
Dirk
Nowitzki |
7 |
7 |
0 |
|
Buser |
Amare
Stoudmire |
8 |
13 |
5 |
|
Knaus |
Brandon Roy |
9 |
10 |
1 |
|
McKitish |
Dwight
Howard |
10 |
8 |
-2 |
|
Stein |
Pau Gasol |
11 |
15 |
4 |
|
Alexander |
Chris Bosh |
12 |
12 |
0 |
|
Carpenter |
Joe Johnson |
13 |
19 |
6 |
|
Flood |
Carmelo
Anthony |
14 |
31 |
17 |
|
Eisenberg |
Andre
Iguodala |
15 |
18 |
3 |
|
Velasco |
Antawn
Jamison |
16 |
21 |
5 |
|
Klyce |
Kevin Martin |
17 |
16 |
-1 |
|
Gonzalez |
Steve Nash |
18 |
58 |
40 |
|
Madden |
Kevin
Garnett |
19 |
54 |
35 |
|
Buser |
Chauncey
Billups |
20 |
17 |
-3 |
|
Knaus |
Caron Butler |
21 |
23 |
2 |
|
McKitish |
Al Jefferson |
22 |
11 |
-11 |
|
Stein |
Jose
Calderon |
23 |
59 |
36 |
|
Alexander |
Deron
Williams |
24 |
9 |
-15 |
|
Carpenter |
Tim Duncan |
25 |
22 |
-3 |
|
Flood |
Derrick Rose |
26 |
38 |
12 |
|
Eisenberg |
Rashard Lewis |
27 |
48 |
21 |
|
Velasco |
Devin Harris |
28 |
14 |
-14 |
|
Klyce |
Lamarcus
Alderidge |
29 |
26 |
-3 |
|
Gonzalez |
Josh Smith |
30 |
64 |
34 |
|
Madden |
Carlos
Boozer |
31 |
102 |
71 |
|
Buser |
Vince Carter |
32 |
24 |
-8 |
|
Knaus |
Elton Brand |
33 |
77 |
44 |
|
McKitish |
Gerald
Wallace |
34 |
34 |
0 |
|
Stein |
Brook Lopez |
35 |
20 |
-15 |
|
Alexander |
Troy Murphy |
36 |
36 |
0 |
|
Carpenter |
Andrea
Bargnani |
37 |
35 |
-2 |
|
Flood |
Rudy Gay |
38 |
56 |
18 |
|
Eisenberg |
Mehet Okur |
39 |
66 |
27 |
|
Velasco |
Andris
Biedrins |
40 |
85 |
45 |
|
Klyce |
O.J. Mayo |
41 |
28 |
-13 |
|
Gonzalez |
Stephen
Jackson |
42 |
61 |
19 |
|
Madden |
David West |
43 |
32 |
-11 |
|
Buser |
Shawn Marion |
44 |
126 |
82 |
|
Knaus |
Baron Davis |
45 |
81 |
36 |
|
McKitish |
Paul Pierce |
46 |
37 |
-9 |
|
Stein |
Gilbert
Arenas |
47 |
72 |
25 |
|
Alexander |
Jason Kidd |
48 |
46 |
-2 |
|
Carpenter |
Ben Gordon |
49 |
41 |
-8 |
|
Flood |
Ron Artest |
50 |
86 |
36 |
|
Eisenberg |
David Lee |
51 |
57 |
6 |
|
Velasco |
Rajon Rondo |
52 |
39 |
-13 |
|
Klyce |
Charlie
Villanueva |
53 |
25 |
-28 |
|
Gonzalez |
Hedo
Turkoglu |
54 |
120 |
66 |
|
Madden |
Tony Parker |
55 |
67 |
12 |
|
Buser |
Nene |
56 |
40 |
-16 |
|
Knaus |
Andrew Bynum |
57 |
52 |
-5 |
|
McKitish |
Monta Ellis |
58 |
74 |
16 |
|
Stein |
Andre Miller |
59 |
62 |
3 |
|
Alexander |
Marcus Camby |
60 |
105 |
45 |
|